That “Mean Old Reversion.” Most stocks, and the indexes in particular, have a historical habit of “reverting to the mean.” The 200-day simple moving avergage is the typical “mean.” In this week’s update, I show the chart...
Rising interest rates, high valuations, lock downs ending – but covid variants emerging, housing prices, oil prices . . . A lot of variables to consider. How are we supposed to know what the market will do next? I offer my thoughts and analysis in this...
A February 18th article in the Wall Street Journal opined that we will have “Herd immunity” by April of this year. That would be really good news! What is the data on Covid infection rates? What is the data on the current market? See this week’s...
Did you know that the S&P 500, the Nasdaq and the Russell put in new record highs last week? I didn’t see that mentioned in any news story. I guess they were busy . . . Lot’s of news to cover. Check out this week’s update and analysis and my...
In the midst of great uncertainty, there are some things that we know for sure. And, there are of course, some things that we don’t know. In this week’s video update, I walk through what we do know and how we can apply that to our trading. I know this...
Last week, the major indexes were weak, pulling back from record highs. No surprise right? We are in a major pandemic, we have a contested presidential election, the senate hangs in the balance, small businesses are cratering, and unemployment is high. And market...
Here is my number one question: “What justifies the S&P 500 P/E ratio being 44% above its historic mean?” Seems like a reasonable question. In this week’s update, I venture into a little bit of fundamental analysis. Weird, I know, for a...
“50-mile-an-hour headwinds.” That is a quote from “Maestro,” otherwise known as Alan Greenspan, Chairman of the Federal Reserve from 1987 – 2006, under 4 presidents. He made that comment about the economy as it was struggling to come...
Here is how you can get “Whipsawed” in the market: Chase headlines and assume that short term moves imply long term trends. It can be exciting, but I don’t reccomend it. “Exciting” can equal significant losses. In this week’s...
