Spring Loaded for Bad News

The market seems to be looking for bad news and will respond to it in a volatile fashion. The only reality so far only is good economic news, but even the hint of bad news causes an out-sized reaction. Check out this weeks video for latest example and for news this week that could move…

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What Trade War?

On Friday, July 5th, 2018, import tariff’s on $34B worth of imports from China went into effect in the US. Of course, China retaliated with their own import tariffs on US goods. These were the first real “shots fired” in the “trade war.” And the market reaction? DOW up 99 points, S&P 500 up 23.…

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An Interesting Pattern on the S&P 500

Time and Price patterns that are similar in magnitude and duration can often repeat themselves.  We have a pattern like this on the S&P 500 right now.  In this week’s video, I break it down and show what the next probable move is. Also, Happy Father’s Day to everyone!  Whether you are a Father or…

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Good News or Bad News First?

Lot’s of good news, and bad news to talk about. In the latest video, I cover the good and the bad and what to watch for in the near term. As always, I welcome your questions, comments and feedback! Dean

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Sell in May . . . and a Mulligan

Did you “Sell in May?” Do you wish for a Mulligan, a “Do-Over?” That is the problem with trading based on pithy phrases or broad market assumptions. Better to stay grounded in the realities of actual price movement and patterns. See this week’s video for the latest “reality check.” As always, I welcome your comments…

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Rube Goldberg Would be Proud

I hear a lot of market commentators giving authoritative sounding reasons for what the market is doing, and what it should do next. These explanations typically get into the complex intra-market correlations of; the price of Oil, interest rates, the impact of tariffs, the supply of precious metals, the strength of the US Dollar and…

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The Facts are the Facts

It is no secret that I’ve had a Bearish bias on the overall market. But the facts are; we are above the 200 SMA, above the Ichimoku Cloud and just broke above the sideways wedge formation that the market had been in for several weeks. This is Bullish, that is the reality. And we need…

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Still Stuck

The S&P 500 and other major indexes are still stuck in a volatile range. In this week’s video, I show the technical analysis of this and key levels to watch for. Key update: We have to wait for clarity in the market direction. Not fun or easy, but that is the reality. Meanwhile, Trade Safe,…

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Just Not Good Enough

Despite REALLY good earnings from important companies like; Google, Amazon and Facebook, the market ended up down overall for the week. The FANG stocks, according to Seeking Alpha, gave up over $88B in market value last week, all in the face of some good news. Anyone want to be a fundamental trader? See this weeks…

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Trust but Verify

During the arms reduction agreements with the Soviet Union, Ronald Reagan famously said, “Trust But Verify.” This idea seems appropriate now, with the recent announcements from North Korea. There is reason for cautious optimism, but wisdom would dictate a “Trust but Verify” approach. The same concept applies to trading. We have opinions about what the…

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