Sell in May . . . and a Mulligan

Did you “Sell in May?” Do you wish for a Mulligan, a “Do-Over?” That is the problem with trading based on pithy phrases or broad market assumptions. Better to stay grounded in the realities of actual price movement and patterns. See this...

Rube Goldberg Would be Proud

I hear a lot of market commentators giving authoritative sounding reasons for what the market is doing, and what it should do next. These explanations typically get into the complex intra-market correlations of; the price of Oil, interest rates, the impact of tariffs,...

The Facts are the Facts

It is no secret that I’ve had a Bearish bias on the overall market. But the facts are; we are above the 200 SMA, above the Ichimoku Cloud and just broke above the sideways wedge formation that the market had been in for several weeks. This is Bullish, that is...

Still Stuck

The S&P 500 and other major indexes are still stuck in a volatile range. In this week’s video, I show the technical analysis of this and key levels to watch for. Key update: We have to wait for clarity in the market direction. Not fun or easy, but that is...

Just Not Good Enough

Despite REALLY good earnings from important companies like; Google, Amazon and Facebook, the market ended up down overall for the week. The FANG stocks, according to Seeking Alpha, gave up over $88B in market value last week, all in the face of some good news. Anyone...

Trust but Verify

During the arms reduction agreements with the Soviet Union, Ronald Reagan famously said, “Trust But Verify.” This idea seems appropriate now, with the recent announcements from North Korea. There is reason for cautious optimism, but wisdom would dictate a...

Tripping the Light Fandango

“Tripping the Light Fandango” is an idiom for “dancing nimbly or lightly” and that seems appropriate for trading the current market conditions. With the recent volatility and unexpected moves, we need to be nimble in our trading, even more so...

The Art of the Uncertainty

The President is known for his book “The Art of the Deal,” among other things. I titled this update “The Art of the Uncertainty,” because his negotiating tactics have introduced the thing that the markets dislike the most: Uncertainty....

Fear and Loathing on Wall Street

It is a well established maxim that The Market “loathes” uncertainty. And, we have an unusual degree of uncertainty right now, and it is leading to a higher than normal degree of FEAR. In the latest Market Update Video, I review the big items that are...

Rebound or Wreckage?

The S&P 500, and the overall market is at a key decision point. We should know a major direction within a few days. Check out my latest analysis in this week’s video. In my Live Trading Room, we caught a really nice short on SPY and are still in it. To see...