That Mean Old Reversion

That “Mean Old Reversion.”  Most stocks, and the indexes in particular, have a historical habit of “reverting to the mean.”  The 200-day simple moving avergage is the typical “mean.”  In this week’s update, I show the chart...

It’s Complicated!

Rising interest rates, high valuations, lock downs ending – but covid variants emerging, housing prices, oil prices . . . A lot of variables to consider. How are we supposed to know what the market will do next? I offer my thoughts and analysis in this...

Herd immunity coming?

A February 18th article in the Wall Street Journal opined that we will have “Herd immunity” by April of this year.  That would be really good news! What is the data on Covid infection rates? What is the data on the current market? See this week’s...

Did you know?

Did you know that the S&P 500, the Nasdaq and the Russell put in new record highs last week? I didn’t see that mentioned in any news story.  I guess they were busy . . . Lot’s of news to cover.  Check out this week’s update and analysis and my...

Here’s What We Know

In the midst of great uncertainty, there are some things that we know for sure. And, there are of course, some things that we don’t know. In this week’s video update, I walk through what we do know and how we can apply that to our trading. I know this...